The Saône is running close to its long-term midsummer average, and forecasts show mainly dry, seasonably warm weather through mid-July. Model guidance suggests a gradual fall that could approach caution levels in late July, so operators are monitoring closely.
Current Conditions
Mâcon (amont) gauge at 1.4 m [normal range 1.0 - 4.0 m], no navigation restrictions in effect.1
Seven-Day Outlook
Météo-France predicts high pressure dominating eastern France, allowing only isolated evening showers; daily model runs keep levels between 1.3 m and 1.5 m through July 20.2
Three-Week Risk Forecast
| Period | Likelihood of Disruption | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Days 1-7 | Normal | High |
| Days 8-14 | Caution | Medium |
| Days 15-21 | Caution | Low |
The latest Rhône-Saône basin bulletin notes reduced tributary inflows as the dry spell lengthens, which could lower depths enough to trigger light-draft limits after July 25. Cancel-For-Any-Reason insurance remains the safest hedge against late itinerary tweaks.3
Cruise-Line Responses
Spokesperson for AmaWaterways says captains may replace short mid-river segments with motorcoach transfers if low water affects rural locks, but no changes are planned at this time.4
Spokesperson for Uniworld reports that staff review Saône gauges daily and will post a water-level statement on the Port Locations page if thresholds are crossed, giving guests at least 48 hours' notice.5
Traveler Advice
First, pack for sunny afternoons reaching the mid-80s °F and be ready for the odd pop-up thunderstorm, especially on shore excursions that include walking Tours through the Beaujolais wine villages.
Second, expect normal sailing this week, yet build a cushion into any independent transport or Hotel bookings in Lyon or Dijon because regional rail lines can be tight around the Bastille Day holiday.
Third, if your Cruise departs late July or early August, check your operator's app each evening for lock-depth advisories before committing to nonrefundable Tours, and confirm your Travel Insurance covers "trip delay" as well as cancellation.
Methodology
This outlook blends real-time HydroPortail gauge data, Météo-France seven-day precipitation forecasts, and the weekly VNF Rhône-Saône network bulletin.1
Disclaimer
Forecasts beyond ten days are probabilistic and may change without notice. This information does not constitute financial or insurance advice.