The Seine is holding steady at typical midsummer levels, and no navigation limits are in force. Minor rain early in the week should not affect cruise schedules.
Current Conditions
Paris - Austerlitz gauge: 1.04 m (normal range roughly 0.7 - 2.5 m), risk level = Normal.1
Seven-Day Outlook
| Date | Forecast Stage | Trend | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Jul 28 | ≈ 1.05 m | Stable | |
| Tue Jul 29 | 1.04 m | Falling < 1 cm | |
| Wed Jul 30 | 1.03 m | Stable | |
| Thu Jul 31 | 1.04 m | Rising < 1 cm | |
| Fri Aug 1 | 1.04 m | Stable | |
| Sat Aug 2 | 1.05 m | Stable | |
| Sun Aug 3 | 1.05 m | Stable | 2 |
Three-Week Risk Forecast
| Period | Likelihood of Disruption | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Days 1-7 | Normal | High |
| Days 8-14 | Caution (hot, dry spell could lower stages) | Medium |
| Days 15-21 | Caution (heat persists, isolated storms) | Low |
A warm ridge over northern France will keep rainfall light through early August, slowly drawing on base flow in the upper basin. Ensemble guidance signals an extended dry stretch after August 8, so low-water pockets could emerge, especially around Rouen and the Les Andelys bend. Keep Cancel-For-Any-Reason coverage in place; it refunds coach substitutions if depth drops below safe draft.3
Cruise-Line Responses
Spokesperson for Uniworld Boutique River Cruises reports that Paris & Normandy sailings are operating normally this week, while reminding guests that itineraries remain "subject to modification due to water levels, closures, or other uncontrollable factors."4
Spokesperson for AmaWaterways states that Seine departures continue as scheduled, noting the line's policy to shift portions of an itinerary to motor-coach only "in the rare event of water-level problems on certain stretches of the river."5
Traveler Advice
Low-water worries are minimal right now, so enjoy full-deck viewing between Paris and Honfleur. Still, pack light layers and polarized sunglasses; July sun reflects strongly off the water.
Plan shore time thoughtfully. Quiet mornings in Vernon or Les Andelys may see lower gangways, so wear shoes with good tread to manage the short, sometimes uneven ramp up to the quay.
Finally, review your cruise contract. Lines usually credit or re-route rather than cancel, but independent pre- or post-cruise hotel stays are your responsibility if the ship must coach ahead. Insurance that covers "any carrier schedule change" is worth the small premium.
Methodology
Gauge data come from Vigicrues feeds mirrored by Sentival, while rainfall and temperature outlooks use seven-day Météo-France forecasts and extended guidance from publicly available ECMWF ensemble summaries.6
Disclaimer
Forecasts beyond ten days are probabilistic and may change without notice. This information does not constitute financial or insurance advice.